Project Economics & Decision Analysis : Deterministic and Probabilistic Models, 3rd Edition

Title: Project Economics & Decision Analysis : Deterministic and Probabilistic Models, 3rd Edition
Author: M.A. Mian
ISBN: 1955578265 / 9781955578264
Format: Hard Cover
Pages: 805
Publisher: PennWell
Year: 2025
Availability: In Stock

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A clear, practical, and comprehensive guide to capital investment evaluation, capital budgeting, and decision analysis. Designed for students and professionals alike, the book walks readers step-by-step through decision-making under uncertainty, emphasizing real-world application with numerous solved examples, illustrations, and end-of-chapter problems. With a focus on building foundational knowledge and critical thinking, this edition makes complex concepts accessible while encouraging a big-picture understanding of oil and gas operations. The book is ideal for those looking to enhance their ability to analyze, interpret, and defend economic decisions in capital projects.

The Third Edition presents a unified volume combining both Deterministic and Probabilistic models, streamlining the approach from previous separate volumes. All time-sensitive materials, figures, and tables have been updated for clarity. Real-world examples have been added to enhance understanding of key concepts. Expanded sections include weighted average cost of capital (WACC), international economics, and abandonment costs. A new chapter addresses commerciality assessment and reserves booking, and an advanced depreciation technique has been introduced. Updated spreadsheet models support decline curve analysis, and all decision tree and Monte Carlo problems have been revised using the latest Palisade DecisionTools™ suite. In response to nearly two decades of user feedback, additional examples have been added for clarity. For instructors, a test bank of 300 questions and a set of 700 PowerPoint™ slides are now available.

Features & Benefits

Comprehensive coverage of capital investment evaluation and decision analysis methods
Emphasis on uncertainty and risk in investment decision-making
Practical, straightforward approach with real-life examples and step-by-step solutions
End-of-chapter problems and illustrations to reinforce learning
Expanded content for readers with limited prior experience in the subject
Detailed explanation of how to interpret probabilistic estimates and convert them into profitability measures
Strong focus on developing problem-solving skills and critical thinking over rote computation
Designed for a broad audience including engineers, geologists, economists, planners, graduate and undergraduate students, and managers
Encourages a "helicopter view" of oil and gas operations while training readers to recognize and resolve key issues
Includes enhanced content based on feedback to improve clarity and accessibility

Audience

Engineers
Geologists
Accountants
Financial Analysts
Anyone who seeks to understand how, or relies upon, energy markets
Graduate and undergraduate students

Tab Article

Section I : Deterministic Models

Chapter 1 : Introduction
Chapter 2 : The Time Value of Money
Chapter 3 : Before-Tax Cash Models
Chapter 4 : After-Tax Cash Flow Model
Chapter 5 : International Petroleum Agreements & Economics
Chapter 6 : Capital Budgeting Techniques
Chapter 7 : Investment Selection Decision-Making
Chapter 8 : Commerciality Assessment

Section II : Probabilistic Models

Chapter 9 : Introduction to Decision Analysis
Chapter 10 : Probability Concepts
Chapter 11 : Expected Value and Decision Trees
Chapter 12 : Simulation in Decision Analysis
Chapter 13 : Exploration Economics and Optimization

Appendix A : Interest Factors for Annual Interest Compounding
Appendix B : Gas Liquids (NGLs) Recovery Calculator
Appendix C : Probability Tables
Appendix D : Contents of the Ancillary Products
Appendix E : Index