Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering, (With CD-ROM)

Under the pressure of harsh environmental conditions and natural hazards, large parts of the world population are struggling to maintain their livelihoods. Population growth, increasing land utilization and shrinking natural resources have led to an increasing demand of improved efficiency of existing technologies and the development of new ones. Additionally, growing complexities of societal functionalities and interdependencies among infrastructures and urban habitats amplify consequences of malfunctions and failures. Malevolence, sustainable developments and climatic changes have more recently been added to the list of challenges. Over the last decades, substantial progress has been made in assessing and quantifying risks. However, with regard to the broader utilization of risk assessment as a means for societal strategic and operational planning, there is still a great need for further development.

Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering contains the proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering (ICASP11, Zürich, Switzerland, 1-4 August 2011). The book focuses not only on the more traditional technical issues, but also emphasizes the societal context of the decision making problems including the interaction between stakeholders. This holistic perspective supports the enhanced and sustainable allocation of limited resources for the improvement of safety, environment and economy. The book is of interest to researchers and scientists working in the field of risk and reliability in engineering; to professionals and engineers, including insurance and consulting companies working with natural hazards, design, operation and maintenance of civil engineering and industrial facilities; and to decision makers and professionals in the public sector, including nongovernmental organisations responsible for risk management in the public domain, e.g. building authorities, the health and safety executives, the United Nations and the World Economic Forum.

From the perspective of assessing and quantifying risks civil engineering as a discipline has achieved substantial progress over the last decades. However, regarding the broader utilization of risk assessment as a means for societal strategic and operational planning there is still a great need for further development. The present volume not only focusses on the more traditional technical issues relating to the assessment of reliability and risks for individual structures, facilities and activities but also pays attention to the societal context of decision making problems including the interaction between stakeholders.

Preface
Editor’s Foreword

Chapter 1 : Organization
Chapter 2 : Conference Organization
Chapter 3 : Sponsors
Chapter 4 : Applications (1-6)
Chapter 5 : Applications and New Developments of System Reliability Assessment (theory)
Chapter 6 : Bayesian Networks for Engineering Risk Analysis
Chapter 7 : Bridge Traffic Loading
Chapter 8 : Decision Analysis
Chapter 9 : Fuzzy Analysis and Soft Computing Methods in Reliability Assessment and Optimization
Chapter 10 : Life-cycle Analysis
Chapter 11 : Maintenance and Safety of Aging Infrastructure
Chapter 12 : Meta-models/Surrogate Models for Uncertainty Propagation, Sensitivity and Reliability Analysis Model Selection, Aggregation and Testing for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment
Chapter 13 : Model Selection, Aggregation and Testing for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment
Chapter 14 : Modelling for Risk Management in Construction Projects
Chapter 15 : Multiple Hazards Risk Assessment and Mitigation
Chapter 16 : Natural Hazards Modeling
Chapter 17 : Performance-Based Design for Structures Subject to Natural Hazard
Chapter 18 : Probabilistic Calibration of Codes
Chapter 19 : Probabilistic Methods for The Assessment of Existing Concrete Structures
Chapter 20 : Probabilistic Methods in Hydraulic and Spatial Structural Analysis
Chapter 21 : Probabilistic Modeling in Engineering
Chapter 22 : Probabilistic Modelling of The Behaviour of Timber in Structures
Chapter 23 : Probabilistic Models and Methods for Risk Assessment of Lifeline Networks and Decision Support
Chapter 24 : Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis
Chapter 25 : Progresses and Challenges in Probabilistic Modeling of Tropical Storm Risks
Chapter 26 : Recent Advances in Geotechnical Risk and Reliability
Chapter 27 : Reliability Methods
Chapter 28 : Reliability of Marine Energy Converters
Chapter 29 : Risk and Reliability Analysis for Interdependent Infrastructure Systems
Chapter 30 : Risk Assessment
Chapter 31 : Risk Assessment and Decision Support Systems for Interdependent Lifeline Infrastructures
Chapter 32 : Risk-Based Assessment of Climate Change Adaptation Strategies for Infrastructure
Chapter 33 : Robustness of Structures
Chapter 34 : Social Perspectives for Hazards Decision
Chapter 35 : Spatial Probabilistic Modeling of Deterioration and Inspection
Chapter 36 : Statistical Investigations and Probabilistic Modeling
Chapter 37 : Stochastic Models and Simulation of Earthquake Ground Motions
Chapter 38 : Structural Reliability
Chapter 39 : The Treatment of Uncertainties in Large-Scale Stochastic Systems
Chapter 40 : Uncertainty and Imprecision in Geotechnical and Structural Engineering
Chapter 41 : Uncertainty, Statistics and Probability